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	<title>PF&#38;Investing &#187; Investing</title>
	<atom:link href="http://pfinvesting.com/tag/investing/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://pfinvesting.com</link>
	<description>common sense in personal finance and investing</description>
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		<title>Formula for a Million Dollars</title>
		<link>http://pfinvesting.com/2011/03/22/million-dollar-formula/</link>
		<comments>http://pfinvesting.com/2011/03/22/million-dollar-formula/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Mar 2011 02:46:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing Basics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saving]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://pfinvesting.com/?p=409</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A three-step formula to get your first million dollars]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today&#8217;s CNN Money discusses three easy steps to becoming a millionaire:</p>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: 1.3em; color: #2255aa; text-decoration: underline;">Step 1. Time:</span></strong> There is really no shortcut to getting rich. The sooner you begin saving and investing (steps # 2 and 3 below), the faster you get there. If you cannot begin soon enough, retire late &#8211; the idea is to give your money enough time to grow.<br />
<span id="more-409"></span></p>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: 1.3em; color: #2255aa; text-decoration: underline;">Step 2. Save:</span></strong> Money does not grow out of a vacuum. You need to start somewhere, and the more you save &#8211; by cutting spending, or increasing income, or both &#8211; the better.</p>
<p><strong><span style="font-size: 1.3em; color: #2255aa; text-decoration: underline;">Step 3. Invest:</span></strong> Locking away your money in a vault will lose its purchasing power to inflation over time. Putting it in a low-interest bank account is not enough either. You should have a smart investment plan, so the interest you earn outpaces inflation.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft" title="formula" src="http://pfinvesting.com/images/formula.jpg" alt="formula" width="380" height="202" />This just restates one of the most basic formulas of investing, as shown here. &#8220;S&#8221; is the money you have today, which comes from your <em>saving</em> (step #2). &#8220;I&#8221; is the annual interest your <em>investing</em> earns you (step #3), which must exceed inflation that typically averages 2.3%. &#8220;T&#8221; is the <em>time</em> in years (step #1). Raising any one of these three, preferably all of them together, will get you that first million dollars quicker.</p>
<p>Read the CNN Money article <a title="CNN article" href="http://money.cnn.com/2011/03/21/pf/millionaire/how_to_be_a_millionaire.moneymag/index.htm?section=money_pf&amp;utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+rss%2Fmoney_pf+%28Personal+Finance%29&amp;utm_content=Google+Reader" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Buffett on the best investment idea</title>
		<link>http://pfinvesting.com/2008/05/08/buffet-best-investment-idea/</link>
		<comments>http://pfinvesting.com/2008/05/08/buffet-best-investment-idea/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2008 12:00:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Warren Buffett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Berkshire Hathaway]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bull market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[index fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock picking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vanguard]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://localhost/2008/05/08/buffet-best-investment-idea/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the recent annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, Warren Buffett advised investing in index funds as the best idea.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the recent <a title="Buffett on BKH annual meeting" href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/03/news/companies/buffett.am.wrap/index.htm" target="_blank">annual meeting</a> of the <a title="Berkshire Hathaway Inc." href="http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/" target="_blank">Berkshire Hathaway</a> shareholders held last Saturday, CEO Warren Buffett was asked about the best investment idea he would recommend to an investor in his 30&#8242;s. In his own words:</p>
<blockquote><p>I would just have it all in a very low-cost index fund from a reputable firm, maybe Vanguard. Unless I bought during a strong bull market, I would feel confident that I would outperform&#8230;and I could just go back and get on with my work.</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-111"></span><br />
Coming from the most famous &#8220;stock picker&#8221; in the world, such drumrolling for index investing may come as a surprise to some. But as I said <a title="Buffett on index investing" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2008/04/23/efficient-market-theory-vs-fundamental-analysis-part-ii/">in this post</a>, he has been advising this for many years, because with index funds you &#8220;would feel confident that (you) would outperform&#8221; and &#8220;get on with (your) work&#8221;.</p>
<p>An estimated 30,000+ strong crowd assembled in this meeting to hear from the Sage of Omaha in these troubling financial times. His main message was that it is impractical to expect an earning of 7 to 10% with publicly traded stocks today. Contrast that with past returns: between 1985 and 2004 a simple portfolio of S&amp;P 500 Index fund would have earned 13.2%!.</p>
<p>You can read the meeting excerpt <a title="Buffett on BKH annual meeting" href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/03/news/companies/buffett.am.wrap/index.htm" target="_blank">here</a> and <a title="Buffett on BKH annual meeting" href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/03/news/companies/buffett/index.htm" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Basics of Finance and Investing</title>
		<link>http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/15/basics-of-investing/</link>
		<comments>http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/15/basics-of-investing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Sep 2007 14:38:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing Basics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saving]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[spending]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://manojitroy.com/2007/09/15/basics-of-investing/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a series of posts, I am putting together some of the basic concepts of investing.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We all need to know the three &#8220;ing&#8217;s&#8221; of managing money &#8211; <em>spending</em>, <em>saving</em> and <a title="click to enlarge" onclick="window.open('/images/basic.jpg','popup','width=880,height=240,scrollbars=no,resizable=yes,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=yes,left=0,top=0');return false" href="http://pfinvesting.com/images/basic.jpg"><img src="/images/basic2.jpg" alt="click to enlarge" width="385" height="102" align="left" /></a><em>investing</em>. The first two &#8211; spending and saving &#8211; are easy to track. Looking up your credit card statements from time to time will give an idea where most of your paycheck is going. And because what is not spent is saved, these statements will also tell you where some of your paycheck should <em>not</em> be going.<br />
<span id="more-49"></span></p>
<p>Investing, on the other hand, is a different ballgame. It is based on deep scientific  theories and strategies (a few Nobel Prizes have been given out on them), but the kind of science that impacts our everyday life. Investing in practice is about growing our financial asset with time, so that we have enough funds available for later years when we can no longer work for a living. This is something all of us must face, whether a seasoned investor or average Joe (like me).</p>
<p>Unfortunately, no school curriculum yet offers a mandatory <a title="Finance course" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/20/finance-101/">course</a> on finance and investing. We are on our own when it comes to learning how to manage our money. In this learning process (as in any other), it helps to know the basic concepts. In a series of posts over the next few days, I am putting together some of the most frequently used terms and concepts in finance and investing. Much of the material here is taken from the excellent textbook &#8220;Investments&#8221; (5<sup>th</sup> ed.) by Bodie, Kane and Marcus. The list will grow as more posts are added:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong><a title="Why should we invest?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/16/why-invest/">Why should we invest?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="What is an asset?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/17/what-is-asset/">What is an &#8220;asset&#8221;?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Players in an investing environment" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/18/investing-environment/">Players in an investing environment.</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Banks, Investment companies and Investment banks" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/19/financial-intermediary/">Banks, Investment companies and Investment banks</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="What is a market?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/22/what-is-market/">What is a &#8220;market&#8221;?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="What is a security?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/27/what-is-security/">What is a &#8220;security&#8221;?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="What is a Money Market?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/30/money-market/">What is a &#8220;money market&#8221;?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="What is a bond market?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/10/04/bond-market/">What is a &#8220;bond&#8221;?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="What is a stock?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/10/29/what-is-stock/">What is a &#8220;stock&#8221;?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Real and nominal interest rates" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/10/11/real-nominal-interest-rates/">&#8220;Real&#8221; and &#8220;nominal&#8221; interest rates</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="What determines the real interest rate?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/10/19/interest-rate/">What determines the &#8220;real&#8221; interest rate?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Efficient Market Theory vs. Fundamental Analysis - Part I" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2008/04/18/efficient-market-theory-fundamental-analysis/">Efficient Market Theory vs. Fundamental Analysis &#8211; Part I</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Efficient Market Theory vs. Fundamental Analysis - Part II" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2008/04/23/efficient-market-theory-fundamental-analysis-2/">Efficient Market Theory vs. Fundamental Analysis &#8211; Part II</a>.</strong></li>
<li>&#8230;</li>
</ol>
<p>We begin with <a title="Why should we invest?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/16/why-invest/">Why should we invest?</a></p>
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		<title>Keeping it simple</title>
		<link>http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/05/keeping-it-simple/</link>
		<comments>http://pfinvesting.com/2007/09/05/keeping-it-simple/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Sep 2007 21:11:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[asset allocation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buy and hold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[diversification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saving]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://manojitroy.com/2007/09/05/knowledge-and-investing/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Information overload can harm investment performance. Keep it simple when it comes to building your portfolio.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3>&#8220;I did not know enough to be scared&#8221;</h3>
<p>69-year old <a title="Kiplinger interview" href="http://kiplinger.com/magazine/archives/2007/09/mystory.html" target="_blank">Earl Crawley</a>, while making $20,000 a year as a parking-lot attendant, still amassed over $500,000 in investment asset. His secret? Two, in fact. The first is his good old habit of saving every &#8220;nickel and dime&#8221;, and the second is his <em>lack of investing knowledge</em>, summed up in his quote that I borrowed above.<br />
<span id="more-44"></span></p>
<p>Saving and investing, in that order (you must save to invest), are the two essentials for building wealth slow and steady. Saving is common sense, and to people like Earl, almost an instinct.  Investing, by contrast, requires some learning. But, knowledge plays a self-limiting role in our investing decision, which in turn affects investing performance.</p>
<p>The two fundamental things of investing are <em>where</em> to invest and <em>how</em> to invest. That is, the <em>assets</em> that make up our portfolio, and the <em>proportions</em> in which these assets are allocated. Unfortunately, there are as many different answers to these two questions, as there are books written about them. The more we know, the more confusing they get, and even drawing up the simplest asset mix can become a difficult task.</p>
<h3>Keep it simple.</h3>
<p>Solution? <em>Keep it simple</em>. Beyond the basics, knowing <a title="click to enlarge" onclick="window.open('/images/knowledge.jpg','popup','width=767,height=527,scrollbars=no,resizable=yes,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=yes,left=0,top=0');return false" href="http://pfinvesting.com/images/knowledge.jpg"><img src="/images/knowledge2.jpg" alt="click to enlarge" width="360" height="244" align="left" /></a>more does not help much. It is a bit like the picture here.  At first, the return of your investment (solid blue graph) goes up with your knowledge level, but after you are past the basics, your return hits a &#8220;saturation point&#8221;. After this point, more knowledge causes information overload, and the payoff does not show a commensurate increase; in fact, the return can even decrease, depending on the specifics of your portfolio (in investing, more knowledge is not necessarily better knowledge).</p>
<h3>Know the basics</h3>
<p>What are these investing basics? There are four steps to it:</p>
<ol>
<li>Depending on your risk tolerance, build a portfolio with the right proportions of risk-free (money market, treasury bills etc.) and risky (stocks and bonds) assets.</li>
<li>For your risky assets choose among those that do not move in lockstep with each other (for example, stocks+bonds, domestic+foreign stocks, etc). This way, you can <em>spread out</em> the risk of market downturns, and reduce its impact on the return of your portfolio.</li>
<li> Build your portfolio with manageable number of assets. Adding too many stocks and mutual funds is an example of information overload; if you do not understand them, you do not know their return potential, and your portfolio return itself can suffer.</li>
<li>Once you set up your portfolio, hold on to it. Do not tweak your asset mix each time the market does something unexpected. As I said in an earlier <a title="How fast should my money grow?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/08/how-fast-should-my-money-grow/">post</a>, there is no get-rich-quick scheme in investing; a &#8220;buy and hold&#8221; strategy is the only way to smooth out short-term market fluctuations, and gain from the long-term economic growth.</li>
</ol>
<p>Again, <em>keep it simple</em>. Earl does exactly that. He is open to suggestions and stock tips, but uses his own common sense and gut instinct to make decisions on which stock to buy. He is a self-made investor. Why can&#8217;t we all be like him?</p>
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		<title>It is all about anticipation</title>
		<link>http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/23/anticipation/</link>
		<comments>http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/23/anticipation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Aug 2007 22:54:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Money and Brain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neuroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://manojitroy.com/2007/08/23/it-is-all-about-anticipation/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Jason Zewig of Money magazine discusses latest advances in neuroeconomics.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And it is all in our brain. <em>Greed</em> and <em>panic</em> &#8211; the two primal human emotions &#8211; are regulated by specific regions in our brain, and they in turn control how we as investors react to market unpredictability. In an insightful article today, Jason Zweig discusses the latest advances in <strong>neuroeconomics</strong>, the branch of science that probes human brain to understand investor behavior.<br />
<span id="more-39"></span></p>
<p>When we fail to find a rational explanation for market swings, biology comes to our rescue. Growing economy dictates the long term market trends, but its short-term fluctuations are directly linked to investor psychology, each feeding off the other. By identifying the specific biological mechanisms operating in our brain, it may be possible to understand why we &#8211; rational beings in almost every other aspect of our lives &#8211; are under such strong grips of emotion when it comes to investing. Read <a title="Money and brain" href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/08/14/pf/zweig.moneymag/index.htm?postversion=2007082313" target="_blank">Jason&#8217;s article</a>.</p>
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		<title>An investing-friendly car buying guide</title>
		<link>http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/car-buying-guide/</link>
		<comments>http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/car-buying-guide/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Aug 2007 22:30:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Roy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Car and Driving]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[appreciation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[depreciation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new car]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[used car]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://manojitroy.com/2007/08/13/car-buying-guide/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A no-nonsense step-by-step guide for buying a used car, stressing the wisdom of choosing a used car over a new car.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is an important difference between the two biggest single expenses in your life (if you live in America): buying a car, and making down-payment for a house. While a house <em>appreciates</em> in value (price goes up with time, usually outpacing inflation), the value of a new car starts <em>depreciating</em> the moment it leaves the dealership lot. Thus, paying 20% down for a house (the median house price was <a title="median house price for 2006" href="http://www.econbrowser.com/archives/2006/10/interpreting_me.html" target="_blank">$232,000</a> last year) is a sound investment, whereas forking out $20,000 for a family car is not necessarily so.<br />
<span id="more-21"></span></p>
<p>Now you know why I do not like paying extra thousands of dollars for a new car, when a reliable used care can do just as fine. Looking at the larger picture, the used car industry in America is <a href="http://www.octgroup.com/articles/alive.htm" target="_blank">twice</a> the size of the new car industry in terms of the number of vehicles sold each year. Most of these buyers choose a used car because of budgetary reasons. For those of you who can easily afford a new car, I am going to argue in the next couple of posts that it still makes better <em>investing </em>and<em> practical</em> sense to own a used car instead.</p>
<p>If you already made up your mind to buy a new car no matter what, <a href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/car-resources/">here</a> is a short list of some excellent resources that will hold your hand through the process step-by-step. For the rest of you, picking the right used car demands some time. (We often spend a week planning a $200 vacation; we can surely spare a weekend researching a $10,000 car.) This guide will hopefully make the process easy and relatively painless. It is divided in the following eight posts, and I recommend reading them in sequence (at least from step #3):</p>
<ol>
<li><strong><a title="A close look at car depreciation" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/car-depreciation/">A close look at car depreciation</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Why should I buy a used car?" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/buying-used-car/">Why should I buy a used car?</a></strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Picking a budget" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/budget-for-a-car/">Picking a budget</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Making a list" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/making-a-list/">Making a list</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Researching your car" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/researching-your-car/">Researching your car</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Checking the car out" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/checking-the-car-out/">Checking the car out</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Wrapping it up" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/wrapping-it-up/">Wrapping it up</a>.</strong></li>
<li><strong><a title="Extended warranty - a postscript" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/extended-warranty/">A note on extended warranty</a>.</strong></li>
</ol>
<p>Let us begin by taking <a title="A close look at car depreciation" href="http://pfinvesting.com/2007/08/13/car-depreciation/">a close look at car depreciation</a> »</p>
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