How fast should my money grow?

August 8, 2007,AuthorRoy (CategoryInvesting)

Well, there is the handy “Rule of 72″, which says the number of years it takes for the money to double at x% yearly (compounded) rate is roughly 72 divided by x. For example, if you have $10,000 in a money market fund earning a sedate 5%, it will grow to $20,000 in about 14 (=72/5) years. By contrast, if the same $10,000 is invested fully in a stock fund that appreciates at a healthy 10% (not a fairytale), doubling your kitty should take only 7 years.

In real life though, the 10% growth in stock fund refers to the market trend, and the actual stock prices bounce up and down around this trend on a daily, weekly, monthly, yearly and even multi-yearly basis (my last post goes a little deeper into it). So, if you are unlucky to hit a major market crash near the end of that 7-year period, your asset can deplete quickly (as a recent example, the S&P500 Index dropped a frightening 21% in a single day on Oct 19, 1987).

The key to answering “how fast should my money grow?” is therefore to ask yourself “how soon would I need money?” If you are retiring soon, or planning to buy your next house within the next few years, you are better off with less-risky options such as a money market fund, or an online money market account. These investments carry almost zero risk, but the earning is also low (still, 5% is not bad considering you will sleep easy).

On the other hand, if you are not looking to touch your nest egg for several years, investing heavily in stocks with a well-diversified portfolio (to minimize risk) can help you net a tidy profit over long term. In either case, there is no fast way to grow money - you earn low yield over short-term, and high yield only if you invest over long-term. Healthy investment is a notoriously dull activity, and requires lot of patience. Paraphrasing Paul Samuelson (The Ultimate Guide to Indexing): “Investing has all the excitement of watching paint dry, or grass grow”.

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